Regional
economic integration is phrase that’s done the rounds in Southeast Asia for the
better part of the last twenty years, but excitement around it has been
considerably more palpable over the couple of years only, as the region heads
towards its goal of establishing an economic community by the end of 2015.
The Association
of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has only made slow progress in pretty much
all its endeavours over the last four and a half decades, often making it the
object of mild ridicule. But frequent comparisons with the European Union
notwithstanding, ASEAN has not done too badly. For a region as diverse and disparate
as this - with very little in common between member nations except perhaps a
love for rice and access to water - ASEAN has actually done well to stand the
test of time.
It now stands on
the cusp of its most important development, that of the implementation of the
ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) by the end of the year 2015. The formation of
this community can have great implications for the region and the world economy
as well. If ASEAN today was a single country, for instance, it would be the
world’s third most populous with about 600 million people and it would also be
among the world’s largest trading powers, behind only the EU, the US, China and
Germany. The region had a GDP of $3.31 trillion in purchasing power parity
terms in 2011, having more than doubled in the past 15 years.
ASEAN envisions
a single market and production base across the ten member states, which will
significantly increase the clout of its economies. This will be done by making
ASEAN a region with free movement of goods, services, skilled labour,
investments and capital.
The one major challenge
the region faces in meeting these aspirations and then making the most from
them is the lack of infrastructure connectivity – physical and mainly institutional.
Besides, increased urbanisation and a rapidly growing middle class have only
put more pressure on transport, water and power systems in the region.
Ironically
enough, it is the region’s governments that are holding the region back. The
biggest obstacle towards greater harmonisation and interconnectivity in ASEAN
today is the concept of sovereignty. Southeast Asian governments are reluctant
to partake in any initiative that can even be perceived to be an impingement of
their sovereignty. Distrust of a regional superstructure is a myopic outlook
that could have harsh implications for the region as it attempts to withstand
competition from China and India.
Whilst physical
infrastructure has improved significantly across most of ASEAN, the bigger issue
relates to harmonisation regulations across borders. ASEAN has a complicated
production network with several intermediate goods manufactured in one country
often being used in the production of another good in another country. It is a
model that has served the region well so far, but as export margins have been
squeezed due to the global economic slowdown, these export-oriented economies
need to offset falling margins with increased efficiencies. The most obvious
way this can be done is by reducing transport costs within the region by
improving institutional infrastructure connectivity.
The cross-border
harmonisation of regulations, standards, guidelines and procedures and legal
frameworks requires coordination among several stakeholders ranging from
government ministries from different member states, multilateral institutions,
regional sub-groupings, private stakeholders and donor countries and
organisations, making it an extremely challenging and painstaking undertaking.
It is no easy task.
Governments should not make it any harder.
(This was a column printed in the Himalayan Times on 17
March 2013)
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